Prediction Market Alert Service
14/15The Opportunity
Prediction market enthusiasts who trade on Polymarket, Manifold, or Kalshi want automated alerts when odds move significantly on markets they're tracking, but these platforms lack robust notification systems. Manual monitoring means missing entry points.
Clever utility — Telegram bot MVP is trivial. Low engagement (188 views) but zero competitors. Worth revisiting if prediction markets go more mainstream.
Original Signal
“I had a Polymarket position I was watching all week waiting for odds to hit 40%. They hit it at 2am and I missed the entry. There's no way to set an alert on these platforms. I'm manually refreshing like it's 2005.”
Score Breakdown
14/15How urgently people need this solved and how willing they are to pay for it. Based on complaint frequency and spending signals across platforms.
How open the market is. A high score means few or no direct competitors, or existing solutions are overpriced and underdeliver.
How quickly a solo developer can ship an MVP. 5 = weekend project with standard tools. 1 = months of infrastructure work.
Existing Solutions
Polymarket has basic notifications but no price-threshold alerts. Manifold Markets (free) has limited notification features. No dedicated alert service exists for prediction market price movements across multiple platforms. A simple Telegram or email bot would fill this gap immediately.
Willingness to Pay
Prediction market trading volume exceeds $1B/month on Polymarket alone. Traders comfortable with real-money markets readily pay $5-$20/mo for edge-preserving tools. Financial alert services like TrendSpider ($33-$65/mo) demonstrate clear WTP for price movement notifications.
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